Todays other fitba. | General 'Fitba' Chat | Page 124 | HibeesBounce

Todays other fitba.

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Steve20 said:
Anyone that thinks they aren’t realistic challengers for the league is kidding themselves
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I haven't watched them tonight, fuck em. They win ugly, but they ARE winning. The more the Huns are shite and the vicTims bumble along, THEY keep winning - the longer they're in it.

I just hope they start losing soon
 
Steve20 said:
Anyone that thinks they aren’t realistic challengers for the league is kidding themselves
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We're 8 games in. Didn't Aberdeen win their first 10 games last season. Its October not march. I'm sure the bigot bros spend big in January. Far too early to tell who finishes where. Only concerned that we start putting a run together.
 
Great win again for Hearts today it has to be said.
Winning regularly breeds confidence and momentum, and they have that in spades at the moment.
Main thing about them is organisation and shape which is trademark McInnes...they just don't lose goals which gives them a good chance of winning any game.
They haven't hit any real injury problems to key players yet which will affect them as the season goes on, and I think they play Celtic next week-end which will be their biggest test of the season.
Still very early stages, but any team hoping to pip them for second is going to have to start stringing quite a few wins together very soon IMO.
 
Young porty said:
We're 8 games in. Didn't Aberdeen win their first 10 games last season. Its October not march. I'm sure the bigot bros spend big in January. Far too early to tell who finishes where. Only concerned that we start putting a run together.
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Big difference between last year's Sheep and this year's Gunts is the statistical evidence.

It wasn't only visually that the Sheep appeared to be "lucking out" at a rate that defied probability.
They won 10 of their first 11 and the draw was at Darkheid, where VAR denied them a late winner. They also won 6 League Cup games. 16 wins and one draw in 17 games.
However, there were several OPTA stats and other "soccermetrics" on which they were behind Hibs and I mind there being one where they were 12th.
Any analysis of the figures would have brought a conclusion that the Sheep were likely to win only slightly more games than they lost in the remaining 22 games before the split - though the 14-game winless streak was almost as statistically improbable as the 31 points from 33 start.

Unfortunately, though the Gunts' stats clearly indicate that they are over-achieving, the figures are vastly superior to last year's Sheep stats.
The Gunts' stats are at a level where they should be getting fairly close to 2-points-per-game from the remaining 25 pre-split games. Maybe 1.8 to 1.9.
If they get 2-points-per-game - W 15, D 5, L 5 - before the split, we ain't getting near the barstewards.
72 points at the split would likely still have them ahead of the Huns, who'd have to go W 20, D 3, L 2 to catch them.
I think the Gunts will drop off that pace if injuries kick-in, but not by much.
I'd still have the Huns very slightly odds-on in the "Without Celtic" market.
 
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