Scottish Elections (2026)

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See with the list vote, is it still the case that voting SNPx2 isn't great if you want to return the max number of pro-Indy MSPs? Better to use the list vote for A.N.Other pro-Indy party?
 
Hibee Kev said:
See with the list vote, is it still the case that voting SNPx2 isn't great if you want to return the max number of pro-Indy MSPs? Better to use the list vote for A.N.Other pro-Indy party?
Click to expand...
If only there was an easy answer 😕

From Pussbook

✅ Best tactical play:
SNP 1 / Green 2

📍 Glasgow

Projected:

Scottish National Party dominant in constituencies
Scottish Green Party strong on list
Reform UK competitive

👉 Greens expected to retain or increase representation

✅ Best tactical play:
SNP 1 / Green 2

📍 West Scotland

Projected:

Scottish National Party dominant
Reform UK surge on list
Scottish Green Party viable but under pressure

??*️ Risk:

Reform competing directly with Greens for final seats

✅ Best tactical play:
SNP 1 / Green 2

📍 Lothian

Projected:

Mixed constituencies
Scottish Green Party strongest list region
Reform UK and Scottish Labour competitive

👉 Greens highly likely to secure multiple seats

✅ Best tactical play:
SNP 1 / Green 2 (high confidence)

📍 Mid Scotland & Fife

Projected:

Scottish National Party dominant in constituencies
Reform UK strong on list
Scottish Green Party viable

⚖️ Tight contest:

Greens vs Reform for final list seats

✅ Best tactical play:
SNP 1 / Green 2

📍 North East Scotland

Projected:

Scottish National Party strong in constituencies
Reform UK very strong on list
Scottish Green Party weaker

??*️ Reality:

Greens may struggle to convert votes into seats
Reform likely to secure multiple list seats

⚖️ Best tactical play (conditional):

If Greens polling ≥8–10% → SNP 1 / Green 2
If below viability → SNP 1 / SNP 2
📍 South Scotland

Projected:

Scottish National Party does not dominate constituencies
Scottish Conservatives / Scottish Labour / Scottish Liberal Democrats competitive
Scottish Green Party weak

👉 SNP remains competitive on the list

❗ Key difference:

SNP list vote still effective here

✅ Best tactical play:
SNP 1 / SNP 2

📍 Highlands & Islands

Projected:

Scottish National Party less dominant
Scottish Liberal Democrats strong
Scottish Green Party weaker
Reform UK present but less dominant

👉 More balanced competition across parties

⚖️ Best tactical play:
SNP 1 / SNP 2 (lean)

⚔️ FINAL NOTE

This model reflects how the system allocates seats under current polling conditions—not party preference.

Where one party dominates constituencies, list efficiency shifts elsewhere.
Where constituencies are competitive, list votes remain in play.

Ignore that dynamic… and the system will quietly redistribute representation without asking.

??*️ FINAL DISCLAIMER

This is not being presented as a mandate for independence, nor as an endorsement of any party or their policies.

It is simply an explanation of how the system functions under current conditions.

People are going to vote regardless. If you choose to do so, and if your intention is to support pro-independence representation on the regional list, then understand this:

A list vote only has impact if it goes to a party capable of reaching the effective threshold.

In practical terms:

If a smaller pro-independence party is close to that threshold, a vote there can translate into seats
If they are not viable, that vote does not convert into representation

In that case, the alternative is straightforward:

you may as well allocate the second vote to the Scottish National Party

This is not about preference.
It is about whether a vote produces representation—or is simply absorbed by the system.
 
Hibee Kev said:
See with the list vote, is it still the case that voting SNPx2 isn't great if you want to return the max number of pro-Indy MSPs? Better to use the list vote for A.N.Other pro-Indy party?
Click to expand...
People voting SNP 1 & 2 last time resulted in more labour/tory MSPs getting elected than would have if the voter had given their second vote to another independence supporting party. As has been said in other replies, the SNP get that many constituency MSPs returned that its nigh on impossible for them to get many on the list vote.

Sadly I am not that convinced that voting SNP 1 & Green 2 this time would result in that many independence supporting MSPs anyway. 😕
 
Murky said:
People voting SNP 1 & 2 last time resulted in more labour/tory MSPs getting elected than would have if the voter had given their second vote to another independence supporting party. As has been said in other replies, the SNP get that many constituency MSPs returned that its nigh on impossible for them to get many on the list vote.

Sadly I am not that convinced that voting SNP 1 & Green 2 this time would result in that many independence supporting MSPs anyway. 😕
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Anything Ive seen on social medja from the SNP has stated SNP 1 & 2 🤔
 
Got my "Greens" leaflet today.

Promising free bus travel for everyone!

Well, they can get tae fuck.
One of the few benefits of being an old codger eroded when feckin youths were given free travel to move around the country vaping and mugging pensioners. Now they want to give it to everyone?
It'll be "free pensions" for everyone next, no matter your age.

These bampots were never getting my vote anyway, but if it was in any doubt, it's a clincher now.
 
Archie said:
Just out of interest, why is it bugbear? It's the system and as a result of that system he gets elected. I don't love it, but it is what it is.
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that he's a politician who's never been elected by the voting public but in 5 election hes got a list as ppl voted tory in the 2nd preference vote.There should be a limit on the number of times you can get in by the backdoor,hes been rejected at the ballot box time after time so the electorate have repeatedly rejected him it seems a bit undemocratic for this to happen every election
 
Braehead Cabbage said:
that he's a politician who's never been elected by the voting public but in 5 election hes got a list as ppl voted tory in the 2nd preference vote.There should be a limit on the number of times you can get in by the backdoor,hes been rejected at the ballot box time after time so the electorate have repeatedly rejected him it seems a bit undemocratic for this to happen every election
Click to expand...
I have issues with the list system. It gives the party enormous power as they control the priority individuals have. Just look at the brawl the Greens are having about the person above Maggie Chapman being barred from standing to get her to the top of the list.

It's not getting in by the back door. It's a device to bring some proportionality to the Parliament. And it has delivered MSPs who wouldn't have got elected through first past the post: SSP, Greens, and Independents . It also got Nicola Sturgeon elected more than once.

I think many PR systems would have the same effect - rewarding the party list.

But ultimately, whether we like it or not , it's within the rules. And isn't it a tiny bit undemocratic to disbar someone from standing because the haven't won an election or constituency before?
 
Archie said:
I have issues with the list system. It gives the party enormous power as they control the priority individuals have. Just look at the brawl the Greens are having about the person above Maggie Chapman being barred from standing to get her to the top of the list.

It's not getting in by the back door. It's a device to bring some proportionality to the Parliament. And it has delivered MSPs who wouldn't have got elected through first past the post: SSP, Greens, and Independents . It also got Nicola Sturgeon elected more than once.

I think many PR systems would have the same effect - rewarding the party list.

But ultimately, whether we like it or not , it's within the rules. And isn't it a tiny bit undemocratic to disbar someone from standing because the haven't won an election or constituency before?
Click to expand...
im not talking about disbarring hes free to stand in any election he wants im just suggesting there is a limit on the number of times you can be a list MSP
 
Here we go again

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This will be interesting. Reform whom many say are a racist party have a black geezer standing as a candidate in Edinburgh South.

Wonder how many 'racist' reform voters will vote for the man?


whocanivotefor.co.uk

Charles Turner for Edinburgh Southern in the Scottish Parliament elections (Constituencies)

is the Reform UK candidate for Edinburgh Southern constituency in the Scottish Parliament elections (Constituencies).Get the latest information on this candidate at Who Can I Vote For?
whocanivotefor.co.uk whocanivotefor.co.uk
 
EH17 Jimmy said:
This will be interesting. Reform whom many say are a racist party have a black geezer standing as a candidate in Edinburgh South.

Wonder how many 'racist' reform voters will vote for the man?


whocanivotefor.co.uk

Charles Turner for Edinburgh Southern in the Scottish Parliament elections (Constituencies)

is the Reform UK candidate for Edinburgh Southern constituency in the Scottish Parliament elections (Constituencies).Get the latest information on this candidate at Who Can I Vote For?
whocanivotefor.co.uk whocanivotefor.co.uk
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No exactly an autobiography Jimmy, although he wid be handy if the lifts break doon up the multis.
 
If somebody does have all those houses, cars and yachts, surely you just go and enjoy them.
Don't get involved Politics ffs.
 
EH17 Jimmy said:
This will be interesting. Reform whom many say are a racist party have a black geezer standing as a candidate in Edinburgh South.

Wonder how many 'racist' reform voters will vote for the man?


whocanivotefor.co.uk

Charles Turner for Edinburgh Southern in the Scottish Parliament elections (Constituencies)

is the Reform UK candidate for Edinburgh Southern constituency in the Scottish Parliament elections (Constituencies).Get the latest information on this candidate at Who Can I Vote For?
whocanivotefor.co.uk whocanivotefor.co.uk
Click to expand...
Another doing his best for Scotland!
Reform UK.
Reform UK.
UK.
 
Hibee Kev said:
The hubris was strong in that one. Like itemising his own personal wealth was ever going to be a hit with the electorate :lollol The Greens laddie ripped the self-important wanker a new one.
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The point he was making was he came from fuck all, worked hard and contributed by employing thousands and paying over 45mill in taxes.
Compare that to swinney who's never had a job outside politics, has been paid over 2.5 million from the public purse and has fucked Scotland chances of independence
 
paigntonhibby said:
The point he was making was he came from fuck all, worked hard and contributed by employing thousands and paying over 45mill in taxes.
Compare that to swinney who's never had a job outside politics, has been paid over 2.5 million from the public purse and has fucked Scotland chances of independence
Click to expand...
I got the point he was making but to start reeling off his wealth and accomplishments just shows a total lack of self awareness IMO. Could've made his point much more effectively without making it all about him. Total cringe. We do need more politicians with life experience outside of politics though.
 
Reforms flyer arrived this PM.
They're gonna cut income tax by realining to 3 bands and cut each band by 1p below englands.
End the use of hotels to house 'illegal immigrants'( cant fucking help themselves) and ensure Scots are given priority in their communities.( priority to hotels?)
Save the Scottish NHS by launching an emergency plan to shorten waiting lists and improve GP access by reducing waste(?).
Get your health insurance ready.
Abolish VAT on heating costs and reduce fuel duty for drivers.
The numbers for these woukd be worth a look( or laugh?)

All this for us lucky Jocks.

From what is, to all intents & purposes an english nationalist party party.
 
greencol said:
Reforms flyer arrived this PM.
They're gonna cut income tax by realining to 3 bands and cut each band by 1p below englands.
End the use of hotels to house 'illegal immigrants'( cant fucking help themselves) and ensure Scots are given priority in their communities.( priority to hotels?)
Save the Scottish NHS by launching an emergency plan to shorten waiting lists and improve GP access by reducing waste(?).
Get your health insurance ready.
Abolish VAT on heating costs and reduce fuel duty for drivers.
The numbers for these woukd be worth a look( or laugh?)

All this for us lucky Jocks.

From what is, to all intents & purposes an english nationalist party party.
Click to expand...
 

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