egb_hibs
Private Member
- Joined
- Jul 2, 2002
Yet another election thread but a topic of it's own this one.
Looking at some of the mountains of stats it seems to me that there are all kinds of scenarios that could unleash merry hell!
It looks very difficult to my naive eyes for the tories to form a majority coalition, despite some reports suggesting they'll retain power. This would potentially lead to a coalition of labour and others taking power with the tories as the largest party. I'm not sure what heat that would generate.
But it could only increase if, say, UKIP aligned with the tories. Despite a nominal amount of UKIP seats, maybe even none, this combination might command an absolute majority of votes casts, even before overtures to the LDs and Ulster parties. That would surely create some kind of bust up and really call FPP into question.
Meanwhile Labour would of course be open to the charges already being laid of being manipulated by the SNP and even by extreme parties ike the greens.
Quite probably things will muddle through, but the next term looks like it could have major ramifications as well as being a war of attrition for a government with a tenuous mandate.
UKIP believe that labour could be destroyed in the north of england as well as Scotland during this government, leaving them as a party of the southern establishment and various cultivated client groups. This could well happen if they govern as part of some looney left aggregation which bursts the country again while chasing political correct fancies.
As for the lib dems the opportunity is ripe for them to really finish themselves off, either by aligning with an unpopular choice or by mercenary bed-hopping.
The tories will be ever more entrenched as an english party and possibly begin to come apart internally as their own prostration before a BBC ordained worldview is threatened by a UKIP rise as much as Labour are, while they may split over the union as they have so damagingly done over europe.
UKIP might explode into a million little pieces if they fail to land Farage a seat.
FPP might be rendered untenable which would change the political landscape completely and possibly signal the end of the liberal elite hegemony as we know it, or might just beget endless chaos or stultifying inaction as mixed up parliaments nullify themselves.
It's hard to see how the SNP can fail to profit massively - no matter what the other guys do and SNPs role in it, they'll be able to blame an imploding union, and it will be accepted without overdue scrutiny.
Where's it all going- what do you think; who might form a government and what might the fallout be?
Looking at some of the mountains of stats it seems to me that there are all kinds of scenarios that could unleash merry hell!
It looks very difficult to my naive eyes for the tories to form a majority coalition, despite some reports suggesting they'll retain power. This would potentially lead to a coalition of labour and others taking power with the tories as the largest party. I'm not sure what heat that would generate.
But it could only increase if, say, UKIP aligned with the tories. Despite a nominal amount of UKIP seats, maybe even none, this combination might command an absolute majority of votes casts, even before overtures to the LDs and Ulster parties. That would surely create some kind of bust up and really call FPP into question.
Meanwhile Labour would of course be open to the charges already being laid of being manipulated by the SNP and even by extreme parties ike the greens.
Quite probably things will muddle through, but the next term looks like it could have major ramifications as well as being a war of attrition for a government with a tenuous mandate.
UKIP believe that labour could be destroyed in the north of england as well as Scotland during this government, leaving them as a party of the southern establishment and various cultivated client groups. This could well happen if they govern as part of some looney left aggregation which bursts the country again while chasing political correct fancies.
As for the lib dems the opportunity is ripe for them to really finish themselves off, either by aligning with an unpopular choice or by mercenary bed-hopping.
The tories will be ever more entrenched as an english party and possibly begin to come apart internally as their own prostration before a BBC ordained worldview is threatened by a UKIP rise as much as Labour are, while they may split over the union as they have so damagingly done over europe.
UKIP might explode into a million little pieces if they fail to land Farage a seat.
FPP might be rendered untenable which would change the political landscape completely and possibly signal the end of the liberal elite hegemony as we know it, or might just beget endless chaos or stultifying inaction as mixed up parliaments nullify themselves.
It's hard to see how the SNP can fail to profit massively - no matter what the other guys do and SNPs role in it, they'll be able to blame an imploding union, and it will be accepted without overdue scrutiny.
Where's it all going- what do you think; who might form a government and what might the fallout be?
