Worryingly so but surprising.Increasing day on day recently.
But not in hospitalisations or ICU so NHS not overwhelmedWorryingly so but surprising.
So 0.18% of the population are active cases. People really need to remember to contextualise absolute numbers.Bloody hell. Not great!
So 0.18% of the population are active cases. People really need to remember to contextualise absolute numbers.
So 0.18% of the population are active cases. People really need to remember to contextualise absolute numbers.
Have you got the data confirming that this is the case?There’s no longer a clear correlation between the number of cases and the number of hospitalisations/deaths.
Have you got the data confirming that this is the case?
It's not a like-for-like comparison though is it?This is per https://data.gov.scot/coronavirus-covid-19/detail.html#deaths for the whole of Scotland.
7 days up to 31st May 2021:
COVID cases in the last 7 days - 509.7
COVID deaths in last 7 days - 3
7 days up to 28th May 2020:
COVID cases in the last 7 days - 51.1
COVID deaths in last 7 days - 131
So based on the same time period last year, there were significantly more deaths than this year, yet more cases this year.
I guess my overall point is that this data isn’t the same measuring stick now as it was in the past.
It's not a like-for-like comparison though is it?
This time last year cases were on a huge downward trajectory after the first wave. We are now in the beginning of a fourth wave....
So I don't think that we can extrapolate from they stats that's there's not the same correlation between cases and deaths TBH....
Of course it’s not like for like, last year we never had a vaccine... Which is kind of my point, cases used to be a good metric but the variables have significantly changed.
I don’t think it’s unreasonable to suggest that we start to use the deaths/hospitalisation statistics as the key driver in policy going forward.
However, you made a point and haven't been able to back it up! With everything I've read we just yet don't know how cases of this Indian variant will turn into hospitalisation and then death. All experts I'm following say it's too early to know.
Perhaps, but that in itself at that level is no longer a proportional justification for further lockdowns/restrictions, imo.It's the trend... IF (And I stress if..) these cases go how previous have then a percentage of these numbers will end up in hospital and a percentage of them will die.
I think perhaps the politicians and MSM are just using the number of cases because they have been since the start and its easy for the population to understand.Of course it’s not like for like, last year we never had a vaccine... Which is kind of my point, cases used to be a good metric but the variables have significantly changed.
I don’t think it’s unreasonable to suggest that we start to use the deaths/hospitalisation statistics as the key driver in policy going forward.
Genuinely curious - does any rise in cases constitute a "wave"?It's not a like-for-like comparison though is it?
This time last year cases were on a huge downward trajectory after the first wave. We are now in the beginning of a fourth wave....
So I don't think that we can extrapolate from they stats that's there's not the same correlation between cases and deaths TBH....
Genuinely curious - does any rise in cases constitute a "wave"?
Third wave definitely upon us....
Sturgeon pretty much saying third wave...Or is it more cases because things have opened up more?
Sturgeon pretty much saying third wave...
Her saying it doesn't make it fact though. People back in pubs, facemasks not being worn, more meeting up, hugging, kissing. Its how the thing spreads.
I think it depends if you are a bit parochial or not. History will show a global chart, as it did for Spanish Flu, taking a global perspective of the waves.Sturgeon pretty much saying third wave...
Keep hearing this. How do we know for sure?eventually they'll fade.
I suppose no-one knows for sure but if you look back in history all these virus type things fade into insignificance. Spanish Flu was the obvious big one but there's been mini panics that didn't quite catch, even recently bird and swine flu being examples.Keep hearing this. How do we know for sure?
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