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Covid -19 Graphs Scotland

SlovSam

Bounce Radge
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More positive Scottish graphs🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 and Scottish government seem to be applying the test, test, test mantra.✅

As Scotland cant protect the borders then you have to assume they just let it run once USA flights 🇺🇸 and English🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 and European camper vans arrive and then manage any fall out that results.
 
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SlovSam

Bounce Radge
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Contact tracing is a new graph though its hard to say if the numbers are good, bad or indifferent.

Its happening though which has to be another tool to defeat the spread.✅
 

SlovSam

Bounce Radge
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Another positive graph showing that Scotland 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 and the North of Ireland are very much on top of the situation.

Wales not so much.😥
 

SlovSam

Bounce Radge
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Nice clear graphics here this time from the BBC.

I know its repetitive but these are clear well constructed graphs unlike many others so they deserve a mention.

It can't really be a surprise that you hammer testing and trace then after a time lag your number of cases begins to decline.

Flare ups and clusters will happen as will imported cases from travel and limited tourism which are still to come but Scotland🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 at the moment is in strong position to face these difficulties.
 
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Rocky

Bounce Radge
Some of those numbers look a little curious so I took a look at the Health Board level data. A few observations:
- The increase in hospital numbers comes wholly from suspected cases which are up by 147 (confirmed cases are down by 3).
- NHS Lothian suspected cases in hospital are the highest they've ever been at 238 (+91 on previous day). It's never been above 200 before. My suspicion is that there's some inconsistency in the definition of 'suspected' so these numbers should be taken with a pinch of salt.
- ICU patients in NHS Lothian have gone from less than 5 (they show an asterisk if a number is less than 5 so not sure what the exact number is) to 9 in the space of a day. Average has been around 6 ICU patients in NHS Lothian for the past month.
- No other health board has as many as 5 ICU cases.
- NHS Lothian has not had a positive test for Covid since 25 June (when there were 3)
- There was an increase of 10 positive tests since yesterday, of which 5 were in Dumfries and Galloway (they've not had a positive test since 20 June prior to that, wonder if it's just delayed reporting or is there an indication of a localised spike down that way?).
 

SlovSam

Bounce Radge
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Its not easy to read these graphs but once you get the hang of it then its very much positive news across the whole of Scotland.

The daft spike at the end is because of a lag in cases now added last week from a different testing method so they are old cases rather than new.✅
 

Rocky

Bounce Radge
Some of those numbers look a little curious so I took a look at the Health Board level data. A few observations:
- The increase in hospital numbers comes wholly from suspected cases which are up by 147 (confirmed cases are down by 3).
- NHS Lothian suspected cases in hospital are the highest they've ever been at 238 (+91 on previous day). It's never been above 200 before. My suspicion is that there's some inconsistency in the definition of 'suspected' so these numbers should be taken with a pinch of salt.
- ICU patients in NHS Lothian have gone from less than 5 (they show an asterisk if a number is less than 5 so not sure what the exact number is) to 9 in the space of a day. Average has been around 6 ICU patients in NHS Lothian for the past month.
- No other health board has as many as 5 ICU cases.
- NHS Lothian has not had a positive test for Covid since 25 June (when there were 3)
- There was an increase of 10 positive tests since yesterday, of which 5 were in Dumfries and Galloway (they've not had a positive test since 20 June prior to that, wonder if it's just delayed reporting or is there an indication of a localised spike down that way?).
I've had another look at the "suspected cases in hospital" data and I reckon it's definitely a bit pointless. According to the data files, ambulances are taking around 150 suspected Covid cases to hospital every day - so I think their definition of "suspected Covid" probably includes anyone displaying any of the known symptoms. So basically I reckon if you have a high temperature you'd be classed as "suspected Covid" under that measure. Anyone who's classed as suspected Covid probably stays classed as that until they've had a negative test result back (which presumably the vast majority do). So the big fluctuations in suspected cases are probably just to do with the administration of tests and the timing of updating the results when they come back in.

The confirmed cases in hospital have dropped by 11 today, which continues the downward trend. The split of the 8 new cases in today's data is Greater Glasgow & Clyde - 5, Dumfries & Galloway - 1, Grampian - 2. So another day with no positive cases in Lothian.
 

SlovSam

Bounce Radge
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Another very informative graph showing how far Scotland 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 has come particularly in the densley populated central belt.

Its also noticeable how well the people of London🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 have done given this was the epicentre of the virus in the early days.✅
 

greencol

Skivin cooncil Radge
Bounce Radge
View media item 432
Another very informative graph showing how far Scotland 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 has come particularly in the densley populated central belt.

Its also noticeable how well the people of London🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 have done given this was the epicentre of the virus in the early days.✅
London's R number is now above one.
Just as the pubs , cinemas etc open
Could be a recipe for disaster.
 

SlovSam

Bounce Radge
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There seems enough evidence around to show that Scotland's🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 strategy of test, trace, isolate and then to contact potential carriers is functioning to a high enough standard to move to the next level.

That next level will be cluster outbreaks or super carriers via unprotected borders or dafties on a staggy.😥

It gives Scotland's 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 policy of eliminating the virus not merely controlling it a fighting chance ✅
 
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