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Covid -19 Graphs Scotland

Purple & Green

Radge McRadge
Admin
View media item 340
For UK it is is easier to read England🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 given that is the vast majority of the statistics but Scotland🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 new cases look consistent.

If you add on the English death toll of somewhere between 30,000 and 40,000 and there lack of testing which is well below the meaningless figure of 100,000 then you wonder where they are getting their justification for easing the lockdown as leaked all over today's English papers 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿🤔.

"Herd immunity" if that even exists by stealth still seems to be their policy and given opinion polls ratings of 50% plus then the English 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 public dont seem to disagree no matter the death toll.
Trying to analyze numbers which you don't think are accurate is a thankless task.
 

SlovSam

Bounce Radge
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This graph pairs quite a good picture of where Scotland 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 is at the moment and where it has been in a historical context of the last few months.

Post 8th March it took around 4 weeks to stop the exponential rise in new cases with limted lockdown taking place on 23rd March.

It then took a further two weeks for this to show signs of obvious decline to around 25th April.

As May develops and new cases drop you can see the dilemma of any sort of serious relaxation in lockdown.

This may result in a surge of new cases and it would therefore take 6 weeks or so to get this back under control.😥
 

SlovSam

Bounce Radge
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You kind of leave it for a few days in the hope that Scotland 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 would at last get to grips with testing but still the answer is still a resounding no.😥.

Its meant to be something like 3,500 a day and I hope heard wrong but wasn't it meant to eventually reach 10,000 for a full test, test, test, isolate strategy.

Its not much better than a month ago and is a real failure of policy unless there is some other reason but cumbersome set up burecraccy no longer cuts it as an excuse.😔
 
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SlovSam

Bounce Radge
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It might hurt your eyesight but this has been one of the big successes of the English🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 and Scottish 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 and Welsh and North of Ireland governments.👍

At no time were the Intensive Care Units (ICU's) in hospitals in any danger of being overrun even at the virus peak of mid April.

Capacity must have been doubled or tripled in a very short period of time and as a result hospitals are now lying empty with hundreds of spare ICU capacity.

In fact there are spare hospitals never mind spare beds.👍😉
 

Greenmachine

Bounce Radge
The whole reason for the lockdown was to prevent so many people becoming so ill with Covid-19 that they would overwhelm the NHS. That has not happened. You would think then that the lockdown could now be lifted, however we have absolutely no idea how many of the population in Scotland are currently infected with the virus and where they are due to the pathetic amount of testing which has been done. Therefore we have to be extremely cautious when lifting the restrictions. We really do need to improve massively on the amount of people being tested on a daily basis in Scotland if we are to get a grip of this virus.
 
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Jack

Bounce Radge
You say they don't know where @Greenmachine but I think they do. 🔍

They'll know, even early doors, from analysing the addresses of the folk that have been treated in hospitals where it is. They won't have actual numbers for how many folk out there are infected but they'll have a pretty good idea from the number crunchers.

We both agree about vigorous testing.
 

Purple & Green

Radge McRadge
Admin
View media item 349
It might hurt your eyesight but this has been one of the big successes of the English🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 and Scottish 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 and Welsh and North of Ireland governments.👍

At no time were the Intensive Care Units (ICU's) in hospitals in any danger of being overrun even at the virus peak of mid April.

Capacity must have been doubled or tripled in a very short period of time and as a result hospitals are now lying empty with hundreds of spare ICU capacity.

In fact there are spare hospitals never mind spare beds.👍😉
I think it's accepted that the real death rate is around "55,000" - but we never ran out of ICU beds.

Was this because victims didn't get near hospital, far less ICU beds?

The question then becomes, how many of that 55k would have survived if they had access to ICU - which we we know were available?
 

SlovSam

Bounce Radge
I think it's accepted that the real death rate is around "55,000" - but we never ran out of ICU beds.

Was this because victims didn't get near hospital, far less ICU beds?

The question then becomes, how many of that 55k would have survived if they had access to ICU - which we we know were available?
15,000 to 20,000 of these people would have been people in Care Homes which is something I still dont understand completely.🤔.

If you are in a care home and showing all the symptoms and are seriously ill then aren't you just whipped into hospital put on a ventilator and an ICU and at least given a slim chance.❓

I do understand that a lot of people in care homes are very far gone with all manners of difficult illness and Covid 19 is just the final push over the edge tragically.😥.

But 35% to 40% of deaths in care homes is a massive amount of people who don't seem to get near a hospital.
 
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SlovSam

Bounce Radge
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The Scottish 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 government do produce a lot of other very interesting stats on a daily basis but by god the presentation is fkn dull, dull and drab.

They need to employ a graphist if thats a word.😉
 
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SlovSam

Bounce Radge
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It looks like more testing has come on stream on Scotland🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 with over 3,000 daily tests though this needs consistency throughout the next week.
 

Greenmachine

Bounce Radge

SlovSam

Bounce Radge
View media item 371Care home stats are hard to find and rather underreported.✔.

I suspect in years to come Scotland🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 and England🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 policy of sending vulnerable old people completely untested for Covid 19 to care homes in order to free up NHS beds is going to be seen as catastrophic.😥

Ongoing care homes must be providing a huge headache to staff in relation to social distancing.
 

SlovSam

Bounce Radge
View media item 376
Not the easiest graphic to read but once you get your head around it then it provides an interesting though not unexpected link between illness and depravation in Scotland. 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿
 

SlovSam

Bounce Radge
View media item 377
A very sobering cumulative graph on a very sad day just to illustrate where Scotland 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 has come from and where Scotland 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 is going to and how vitally important it is to avoid a second wave.
 
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